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HNIW30
HNIW30 here: Crypto vet sharing no-BS insights from market trenches. Real tactics to beat volatility, minus the hype. Follow HNIW30 for solid tips & updates
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The probability of "Wenban winning the NBA Finals MVP" has dropped sharply
The probability of "Wenban winning the NBA Finals MVP title" has decreased to 20%, down 44% in just one week, falling to third place. Meanwhile, Brunson's probability has risen to 45%, ranking first, and Towns' probability is 35%, ranking second.
Contract terms stipulate that if there are multiple winners, the player whose name appears first will be chosen. If no winner is determined before June 30, 2026, the result will be classified as "Other." The final result will be based on official NBA information and reports from other reliable media sources
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Trump focuses more on the city's appearance than on crime issues. An analysis of over 800 posts and shares from Trump's account in May shows he is concerned with reshaping the Republican Party and large-scale beautification of Washington, D.C. These topics are mentioned repeatedly, surpassing other important issues such as election integrity, immigration, and urban crime.
Trump also frequently references the conflict with Iran, emphasizing ensuring that Iran does not possess nuclear weapons. Additionally, images and symbolic posts, including AI-generated composites, also hold a significant place in his posts.
The White House spokesperson considers the use of Truth Social an important way for the president to communicate directly and authentically with the American people and the world. Trump's peak posting time is usually in the evening, from 10 to 11 PM
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The First Vice President of Iran stated that all senior officials of the country are in agreement on the negotiation strategy. He affirmed that Tehran has adopted a clear and coordinated approach in the negotiations. Iranian officials have no disagreements regarding the text and agenda of the negotiations. This pertains to the indirect talks between Iran and the United States aimed at ending the war against Iran. He also emphasized Iran's experience in handling crises, drawn from two previous wars
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OpenAI is planning a significant upgrade for ChatGPT to generate more revenue. The company intends to transform the chatbot into a "super app" integrating programming tools and AI agents, as well as adding new products. The goal is to find new growth drivers ahead of the IPO this year. By allocating resources to pursue high-margin enterprise customers, OpenAI is undergoing a comprehensive restructuring and strengthening competition with rivals
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South Korean retail investors have "exited the peak" of the US stock market, selling over 1 trillion won worth of foreign stocks this week. This net selling trend began in April and is continuing. Notably, the sell-off occurred while the three major US stock indices continuously reached record highs.
Individual South Korean retail investors are selling at high prices in the US stock market and returning home to reallocate their assets. The Korean Composite Stock Price Index surpassed the historic 8,000-point mark at the end of May, led by gains in semiconductor stocks. If the sell-off continues, it will be the first time since April to July 2023 that there have been three consecutive months of net selling
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Next week, the macroeconomic outlook will include the US CPI index, two key central bank policy decisions, and the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO. After the release of non-farm payroll data, expectations for interest rate hikes surged, causing spot gold prices to drop sharply and marking the fourth consecutive week of decline. The US dollar index rose strongly above the 100 mark, while US tech stocks fell sharply.
Important market events to watch this week include the New York Fed's 1-year inflation expectations, the industrial production-adjusted NFIB small business optimism index in the US, and interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank. The market will also see a series of other significant events, including the potential SpaceX IPO, Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference, and TSMC's earnings report and May sales data.
Next week, US stocks enter a relatively quiet phase of the earnings season, with two major tech companies, Oracle and Adobe, set to report. These events are likely to impact market volatility and overall market sentiment.
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Grayscale has filed an S-1 registration statement, intending to launch the Grayscale Canton ETF. This filing marks an important step in the company's new product development process. The Grayscale Canton ETF is expected to be listed on the stock exchange, providing investors with an additional option to access the financial market. This information was announced on June 7, demonstrating Grayscale's interest in expanding its product portfolio and meeting the diverse needs of its customers
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Joseph Lubin, co-founder of Ethereum, is reported to have collateralized a large amount of ETH on Maker. Three addresses belonging to him have collateralized about 412,430 ETH, worth approximately 653 million dollars, and borrowed about 259 million Dai. However, the health factor of these addresses briefly dropped below 1.2 due to the decline in ETH price, but after adding an additional 110,000 ETH as collateral, the health factor recovered to above 1.48. This demonstrates Lubin's flexibility and risk management in using digital assets
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The big players in the bond industry are preparing for the possibility of the AI bubble bursting. They carefully select bonds that can survive through deep credit cycles. A fund manager believes the probability of an AI bubble is 100%, as tech companies continue to pour money into the market. He advocates seeking assets that can endure through structured deals or strong balance sheets.
The debt scale in the AI industry has expanded unprecedentedly, with unsecured bond issuance by major US tech companies exceeding $155 billion this year. Experts predict that capital expenditure on AI will reach about $5 trillion over the next 5 years, a significant portion of which will rely on borrowed funds.
Some companies have issued bonds to finance Nvidia's data center projects, and subscription amounts have exceeded four times the expected level. However, experts also warn that losses in the event of default could exceed historical experience, and companies need to choose carefully to avoid risks
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Joseph Lubin, co-founder of Ethereum, has staked over 410,000 ETH, worth approximately $653 million. Three addresses linked to him have borrowed 259 million Dai. His position health factor dropped below 1.2 during the recent ETH price dip but then recovered above 1.48 after he added about 110,000 ETH as collateral. This significantly reduces the risk of his borrowing position being liquidated. In 2015, Joseph Lubin purchased 540,000 ETH at around $0.31
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